My question wasn't meant to divert attention but has to be answered before your question can be answered.
Starting with the basics - one problem with answering your question is that diesel engines around the world are quite different in additive content/basetock (Groups 1 -4 with some 5 (ester) added for seal compatibility) and those in US keep changing every couple of years - increasing in soot carrying capability (detergents) while decreasing ZDDP content and increasing antioxidant content - first phenols now more amines. Also TBN becoming of less importance as sulfur in fuels decreases - in US now down to 15 ppm with ULSD fuels required in Jan. '07
So my following terms are basic not meant toward any particular oil
First assuming you don't have water intrusion/coolant leak - need on-line sensor for this since occurence is not time based, the following description is why I said engine or oil life.
When oil first starts out, antioxidants keeping basestock stable - ZDDP reacting with metal surfaces creating antiwear film.
With initial use antioxidants deplete and ZDDP depletes but basestock undergoes minimal changes. Overtime ZDDP depletes so that antiwear film no longer created - wear at start-up initiates but only polishing wear occurs during use since detergent package keeps ZDDP byproducts suspended acting as a solid lubricant - so looking at iron content - iron starts increasing but basestock shows minimal changes since antioxidants still present.
As use further increases, detergents start getting tied up by soot - start losing capability to keep ZDDP by-products suspended - polishing wear accelerates (energy efficiency starts decreasing - lower miles per gallon) - so iron concentration accumulation increases - basestock still minimal changes due to antioxidants
Finally antioxidants deplete, basestock starts oxidizing - however overbased additives neutralize stronger acids and viscosity index improvers keep viscosity stable, polishing wear continues to accelerate as basestock starts becoming acidic - long chain oxidation acids are surface active.
As some point either the acid number or viscosity will increase past specified limit - some use 10% increase others use as high as 50%.
And oil is changed.
This chain of events comes from numerous tests we have run on a past Army program in which used diesel engine oils from field and accelerated seeded fault tests in the lab were used to better understand oil degradation mechanisms of diesel engine oils and to evaluate capabilities of on-line sensors -more important to detect abnormal engines than oil changes.
So if you care about your oil, you run until the additives are totally depleted and change oil when wear amounts (Army uses 400 ppm Fe) or oil parameters exceed set limits (Army has FTIR set of parameters to judge oxidation - becomes tougher as esters added for seal compatibility/additive solubility making C=O band less reliable for oxidation deteremination)
If you care about your engine, you change oil when ZDDP or other antiwear additive depletes, basestock still stable to minimize wear increase and maintain energy effieciency.
Army work and other oil studies presented/in proceedings of NORIA, JOAP (Joint Oil Analysis Program - military), STLE etc. so should be available through their websites.
http://www.noria.com/secure/product_detail.asp?catalogid=92 is one such website
Or you can google Robert Kauffman to find others